The Daily Forecast

Relatively calm weather should prevail for much of the country for Mother’s Day, with a few thunderstorms possible for the Mountain West and Ohio Valley into the Northeast.  However, the area with the most unsettled weather expected is the Southeast. While severe weather is not expected with this system, widespread rainfall totals in excess of 2 inches, with some localized totals as high as 6 inches, will be possible for…

1 year ago today, a major tornado outbreak swept across the southeast, especially Alabama, spawning 257 tornadoes across the area. This was part of a 4 day long tornado outbreak that produced 358 tornadoes in the eastern U.S. and Canada. In this outbreak, 325 lives were lost as a result of the tornadoes, with another 24 storm related deaths not related to tornadoes. Since a picture is worth a thousand…

According to several media outlets in north Texas, a small tornado outbreak has occurred this afternoon. Tornadoes have impacted a significant portion of the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area, along with several locations south and west of Dallas.  According to the Storm Prediction Center, 6 tornado reports have come in already, however none have come in from Dallas County or Tarrant County, where the Weather Channel had footage of tornadoes from…

On Tuesday, March 6, 2011, voters in Georgia, Massachusetts, Vermont, Virginia, Tennessee, Ohio, Oklahoma, Idaho, North Dakota, and Alaska will head to polls and caucuses on Super Tuesday.  For much of the country, high pressure should dominate the weather pattern, bringing fair skies as voters head to the polls.  In Idaho and North Dakota, the chance for snow exists, with the potential for up to 6 inches in Idaho, with…

The models are coming together on a potential major severe weather outbreak across portions of the Ohio and Tennessee River valleys on Friday.  With current SigTor parameters in excess of 6 predicted across Kentucky on Friday, along with CAPE values of around 2000 J/kg, are expected to combine to create a high end severe weather risk, particularly in central Kentucky.  In this area, several destuctive, long-track tornadoes will be possible,…

A winter storm is expected to impact portions of southern Wisconsin, northern Illinois, northern Indiana, and eastern Iowa.  Current NWS forecasts are indicating 3-6 inches for much of this area.  However, with the upper level temperature profiles setting up the way that they currently are, this snow will likely be a wet snow, and it appears to me that the NWS forecast is using a 10:1 snow to liquid ratio….

A low pressure system, currently forming over southeastern Colorado, is expected to move across the Ohio River Valley mid-week, bringing the chance for precipitation across the central US.  Current model indications show that most of this precipitation will occur as rain, with the exception of southern Wisconsin which should see 1-3 inches of snow.  For a good model forecast of the specifics of snowfall amounts, click here (wxcaster.com, NAM snowfall…

On Sunday, February 5 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN, the New England Patriots will take on the New York Giants in Super Bowl XLVI.  While weather should not have any impact on the game itself, as it is being played indoors, tailgating conditions should be decent before the game, with temperatures in the upper 40′s expected early Sunday afternoon, with these temperatures falling into the lower 40′s by…

In early February 2011, a massive winter storm moved across the Midwest. This system produced in upwards of 15 inches of snow across a wide swath extending from Tulsa, OK to Saginaw, MI.  The heaviest snowfall amounts came in southeastern Missouri, and also along Lake Michigan in the Chicago and Milwaukee metropolitan areas.  In areas south of the rain-snow line, a massive ice storm took place, with some locations receiving…